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The worst of the pandemic is yet to come. The peak of the infections will be on June 27: UNAM

May 29, 2020

The highest number of positive cases is observed between May 31 and July 13, with a maximum peak around June 27.

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The worst of the pandemic is yet to come. The peak of the infections will be on June 27: UNAMThe worst of the pandemic is yet to come. The peak of the infections will be on June 27: UNAM


A study by the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM) says that the worst part of the coronavirus epidemic in Mexico will continue until June 27. The COVID-19 contagion curve is growing and it takes weeks to reach its maximum peak, according to the mathematical predictions made at the Institute of Physics.

The forecast was included in the study Let us understand COVID-19 in Mexico, performed by Dr. Octavio Miramontes and published on May 23, stressing that the Mexican population has not responded satisfactorily to the authorities’ requests to remain limited compared to other countries.

According to data from GoogleDespite phase 3, citizenship eased the reputation of staying at home by up to 10%.

If the current pace of containment is maintained, the epidemic could continue, the study said between 160 and 200 days (five to six and a half months) with up to 126,000 confirmed cases, much more than the expected 91,000.