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The “optimistic” scenario predicts that there will be 6,859 deaths from Covid-19 in Mexico by August 4

May 18, 2020

The Institute for Health Measurement and Assessment (IHME) notes that lack of evidence can complicate forecasts for the country.

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The “optimistic” scenario predicts that there will be 6,859 deaths from Covid-19 in Mexico by August 4
The “optimistic” scenario predicts that there will be 6,859 deaths from Covid-19 in Mexico by August 4


The Institute for Health Measurement and Assessment (IHME) the University of washington, presented a model that predicts how many infections and deaths the Covid-19 pandemic would leave in August.

In a video conference, Christopher Murray, director of the IHME, emphasized that the epidemics in Mexico in Mexico, Peru and Ecuador will be “smaller but significant”. The expert pointed out that the lack of evidence makes it more difficult to make more accurate predictions about the development of the disease in Mexico.

The IHME model considers various mathematical analyzes as the most optimistic projections. In this way, Mexico would record 6,859 deaths from Covid-19 by August 4 (the last day registration occurred).

Picture: IHME

By May 17, Mexico had registered 49,219 active cases of Covid-19 and a total of 5,177 deaths from the coronavirus.

The gradual reactivation of economic activities in some communities is expected to begin this week, but the end of the National Sana Removal Day will not take place until June 1st.