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The polls on foot of urn in Israel draw a stage without majorities and give Gantz a slight advantage

September 17, 2019


The polls at the foot of the ballot box after the parliamentarians held on Tuesday in Israel again point to a scenario in which the main candidates would not have a sufficient majority to form a Government.

Thus, Channel 11 gives 32 seats to the Prime Minister Likud, Benjamin Netanyahu, and the Blue and White Party, led by former Army Chief of Staff Benjamin Gantz. In April both formations obtained 35 seats.

Meanwhile, Channel 12 gives 34 seats to the Gantz party and 33 to the Netanyahu party, while Channel 13 gives 33 to the Blue and White Party and 31 to the Likud, according to the newspaper 'Haaretz'.

On average, these polls give 32 seats to Gantz and 31 to Netanyahu, while the coalition that a priori could make up the prime minister would stay in the 56 seats – the polls give him between 54 and 57 – so no he would achieve the 61 that would guarantee him the absolute majority, which Gantz would not reach.

These surveys also give twelve seats to the Joint Arab List, nine to Yisrael Beitenu – led by Avigdor Lieberman and considered key to the formation of the Executive – and Shas, eight to United Judaism of the Torah, seven to Yamina, and five to the Democratic Union and the Labor Party.

In the face of the elections, the former Minister of Defense had already advanced that he will not join an Executive led by Netanyahu, which would make it difficult for the prime minister to extend his mandate to the front of the country.

For its part, the Central Electoral Committee has indicated that at 8:00 p.m. (7:00 p.m. in mainland Spain and the Balearic Islands) the participation was 63.7 percent, 2.4 percentage points higher than that registered at that time in April.

The elections are a repetition of those held in April, after Netanyahu failed to agree on an Executive and chose to call new elections before allowing the president, Reuven Rivlin, to pass the witness to another person to try to form a Government.

In Israel, the population votes to a list of candidates for Parliament, in which alliances are subsequently forged. To date, no party has achieved an absolute majority, which makes the post-election stage a key element of the process.

Rivlin has assured Tuesday that he is determined to prevent this from happening again. “I will do my best according to the law and the powers guaranteed by my office so that Israel has an elected government as soon as possible and that we avoid another election campaign,” he said, according to DPA.