Lula leads Brazil’s presidential election by 12 points over Bolsonaro

The Workers’ Party (PT) candidate for the presidency of Brazil, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, would win the most votes in the Oct. 2 elections with 45% of the vote, compared to 34% for the current presidential candidate Right-wing extremist Jair Bolsonaro is re-elected.

Former minister Ciro Gomes of the Democratic Workers’ Party (PDT) would be third by a wide margin with 9 percent of voting intentions, while Senator Simone Tebet (Brazilian Democratic Movement, MDB) would reach 3 percent, according to the poll compiled by the Institute for Social, Political and Economic Research (IPESPE). No other candidate exceeds 2 percent of voting intent.

In the second round, Lula would beat Bolsonaro (53-35 percent) and would also beat Ciro or Tebet. Bolsonaro would be in a technical tie with Ciro and Tebet.

Lula leads Brazil’s presidential election by 12 points over Bolsonaro
Lula leads Brazil’s presidential election by 12 points over Bolsonaro

This is the first poll conducted by IPESPE without the name of the former governor of Sao Paulo, Joao Doria (Brazilian Social Democratic Party, PSDB), as his own party has no support. With Doría’s resignation, the so-called “third way” collapses in a similar way to when Sérgio Moro left in April.

The study is based on 1,000 telephone interviews conducted between May 30 and June 1 with citizens aged 16 and over. The confidence level is 95.5 percent.

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