Welcome to the Price Forecast Report for Bitshares — 11th December 2017.
- Moving Average Convergence Divergence
- Relative Strength Index
- Aroon Indicator
- On-Balance Volume
They are based on the idea that the market for buying and selling digital currencies is not efficient and historic prices can be used to predict futurepricemovements, and using these tools can be advantageous to investors and traders.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is a trend-following indicator of momentum that illustrates the relationship between two moving averages of prices. The MACD is estimated by subtracting the 26-day exponential moving average from the 12-day moving average. A nine-day exponential moving average of the MACD, the “signal line”, is then plotted on top of the MACD, functioning as an identifier for both buy and sell signals.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The relative strength index (RSI) is another price momentum indicator that compares the size of recent gains and losses over a specified time period to calculate speed and change of pricemovements of a digital currency. It is mainly used to identify overbought or oversold situations in the trading of a digital currency.
RSI values of 70 or above are traditionally seen to indicate that a security is becoming overbought or overvalued, and therefore may be set for a trend reversal or corrective reduction in the price. On the other side, an RSI reading of below 30 is generally interpreted as indicating an oversold or undervalued condition that may signal a change in the direction of the price to the upside.
The Aroon indicator can be used to identify trends in digital currencyprices and the likelihood that the trends will reverse. It is made up of two trend lines: an “Aroon up” line, which measures the magnitude of the uptrend, and an “Aroon down”, which measures the size of a downtrend. The indicator reports the time it is taking for the price to reach, from a beginning point, the highest and lowest points over a given time period, each reported as a percentage of total time.
The graph below shows the Aroon Indicator using the price of Bitshares over the last 40 days.
The Aroon indicators move above and below the centerline (50) and are bound between 0 and 100. These three levels can be explained as follows: When the Aroon-Up is above 50 and the Aroon-Down is below 50, the bulls have an edge. This indicates a greater propensity for new x-day highs than lows. The opposite is true for a downtrend. The bears have an edge when Aroon-Up is below 50 and Aroon-Down is above 50.
In the graph below, the Aroon-Up is above 50 and the Aroon-Down is below 50 indicating a bullish signal.
On-Balance Volume (OBV)
The idea is that volume precedes price movement, so if a currency is experiencing an increasing OBV it is a signal that the level of volume traded is increasing on upward price moves. Decreases mean that the security is seeing growing levels of volume on down days.
Please note that the above indicators can give false trade signals and use of such tools should be treated with caution. Blindly using technical pricing indicators without a generalknowledge of fundamentals or an understanding of the currency being analysed is not advisable.
Thank you for reading
Source of data: www.coinmarketcap.com